Thecommodityuniversity
Commodity University
Published: April 6, 2026
Video Description
Dave Collum joins Darrell for a macro discussion covering fragile markets, geopolitical risk, and the structural imbalances building beneath the global economy. Collum breaks down why he believes equities are dangerously overvalued, how private credit and carry trades could unravel, and why the real risks may already be locked in. The conversation explores gold, energy, real estate, and liquidity positioning, alongside a blunt assessment of U.S. policy, global conflict, and what a potential “fourth turning” could mean for investors navigating uncertainty.
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00:00 Intro
00:54 Fragile Markets, Carry Trade & Systemic Risk
03:09 Buffett’s Cash Position & Valuation Concerns
04:03 Gold, Mining Stocks & Investor Positioning
07:14 Geopolitics, Iran & Market Reactions
12:40 War, Economic Damage & Global Consequences
16:07 Fourth Turning & Institutional Breakdown
17:35 Defensive Investing & Capital Preservation
20:01 Strait of Hormuz & Global Supply Fragility
24:05 Rare Earths, Supply Chains & Manufacturing Reality
28:21 Energy Investing Strategy & Market Risk
32:17 Liquidity, Gold & Portfolio Allocation
34:04 Real Estate Bubble & Interest Rate Debate
36:29 Politics, Midterms & Economic Policy
39:06 U.S. Policy, War Spending & Global Tensions
43:39 Global Depression Risk & Market Cycles
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